As Yields Tick Higher, Bonds Still Play a Key Role [Video]
From a portfolio perspective, the recent increase in yields and the corresponding decline in bond prices have surprised many. Even in this challenging interest rate environment, bonds play a key role in risk management by providing diversification benefits through negative correlations to the U.S, international developed and emerging stocks, and other assets. These benefits were particularly apparent during 2020 as bonds provided ballast against the volatile swings in U.S. equity markets:
As rates have ticked higher, investors may now be questioning the role of bonds in their portfolios. To gain perspective, it is useful to examine bond performance during different interest rate environments:
From 2003 to 2006, U.S. bonds returned 1.8% per year as interest rates rose. They returned 4.3% per year from 2008 through 2015 when rates were flat, and 4.0% per year during the mixed rate environment in the back half of the last decade.
While a rising rate environment is anticipated, there is potential for periods of flat and/or mixed rates. Given positive returns across varying interest rate environments and clear diversification benefits, the case for maintaining bond allocations is strong.
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